Multi Asset Dividend Strategy

Multi Asset Dividenden Strategie |-Dividend Aristocrats- |WF0DIVIDEN |ISIN: DE000LS9FLZ8

Smart Beta |Low Volatility |Low Variance | https://www.wikifolio.com/de/de/wikifolio/dividend-aristocrats

  • mit 140 defensiven Werten
  • Breit Diversifiziert
  • Dividenden ETF´s
  • High Dividends
  • Commodities
    1. Precious Metals (Gold)
    2. Industrial Metals (Copper)
  • Bonds
    1. Government Bonds
    2. Corporate Bonds
  • Alternative Investments
    1. Low Volatility
    2. Low Variance
    3. Real Estate
    4. Multi Asset
    5. Smart Beta
    6. Water

Aktien Kurs Bid Stück   +/- seit Kauf          Anteil in %      73 %

3M CO. DL-,50

US88579Y1010
144,940 6
-1,08%
1 %

ADIDAS AG

DE000A1EWWW0
97,051 8
+0,12%
1 %

ALASKA AIR

US0116591092
70,229 13
+5,68%
1 %

ALLIANZ AG VNA O.N.

DE0008404005
140,900 6
+11,96%
1 %

ALTRIA GROUP INC.

US02209S1033
57,000 15
+22,40%
1 %

AMER. EXPRESS DL -,20

US0258161092
52,740 16
+5,25%
1 %

AMERICAN WATER WORKS

US0304201033
61,437 14
+0,12%
1 %
42,882 18
-0,19%
1 %

AT&T INC.

US00206R1023
34,330 25
+2,45%
1 %

AURELIUS AG

DE000A0JK2A8
45,115 19
+5,61%
1 %

BALCHEM

US0576652004
58,850 15
+2,37%
1 %

BAXTER INT INC

US0718131099
35,738 24
+2,42%
1 %

BAYER AG O.N.

DE000BAY0017
97,780 7
-1,62%
1 %
67,978 1
+0,01%
0 %

BEIERSDORF AG O.N.

DE0005200000
79,956 10
-0,62%
1 %

BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY

US0846707026
124,970 7
+4,14%
1 %

BLACKROCK

US09247X1019
293,262 3
+1,51%
1 %

BRISTOL MEYERS

US1101221083
58,583 14
+0,07%
1 %

BRIT AM TOBACCO

GB0002875804
52,060 15
-0,25%
1 %

CIGNA

US1255091092
125,590 7
+2,11%
1 %

COCA-COLA CO. DL-,25

US1912161007
39,930 22
+0,18%
1 %

COLGATE PALMOLIV

US1941621039
61,716 14
-0,14%
1 %

COSTCO

US22160K1051
136,626 6
+0,89%
1 %

DAIMLER

DE0007100000
67,475 14
+16,10%
1 %

DEERE & CO

US2441991054
76,816 12
+9,99%
1 %

DOW CHEMICAL CO

US2605431038
45,599 19
+4,22%
1 %
60,450 15
+9,14%
1 %

ELI LILLY

US5324571083
66,416 13
+0,94%
1 %

EXXON MOBIL CORP.

US30231G1022
74,510 11
-0,56%
1 %

FREENET

DE000A0Z2ZZ5
28,012 32
+4,74%
1 %
75,291 10
-2,88%
1 %

FRESENIUS SE & CO KGAA

DE0005785604
60,126 10
+10,03%
1 %

FROSTA AG

DE0006069008
43,107 20
+2,66%
1 %

GEBERIT

CH0030170408
329,230 3
-0,71%
1 %

GENERAL MILLS

US3703341046
54,521 15
+2,61%
1 %

GENL EL. CO. DL -,06

US3696041033
27,570 34
+3,69%
1 %

GENUINE PARTS

US3724601055
84,800 10
+0,61%
1 %
79,280 10
-1,83%
1 %

GOLDMAN SACHS

US38141G1040
141,720 6
+4,68%
1 %

GROUPE DANONE EO 1

FR0000120644
63,430 14
+4,05%
1 %

HANNOVER RUCK SE

DE0008402215
94,783 10
+17,37%
1 %

HELMA EIGENHEIMBAU

DE000A0EQ578
44,610 20
+7,29%
1 %

HENKEL STAEMME

DE0006048408
83,395 10
-1,33%
1 %

HERSHEY

US4278661081
84,401 10
+2,63%
1 %

HOME DEPOT INC. DL-,05

US4370761029
113,700 7
+1,35%
1 %

HONEYWELL INTL DL1

US4385161066
97,924 8
-1,20%
1 %

HORMEL FOODS CORP

US4404521001
39,810 5
+0,66%
0 %

IMPERIAL BRANDS PLC

GB0004544929
47,429 17
-2,89%
1 %

INBEV

BE0003793107
105,680 8
-0,89%
1 %

INDITEX

ES0148396007
29,403 30
+7,51%
1 %

INTL BUS. MACH. DL-,20

US4592001014
124,630 7
+3,19%
1 %

JOHNSON + JOHNSON

US4781601046
96,340 9
+1,52%
1 %

KELLOGG CO

US4878361082
68,104 12
+1,11%
1 %

KRAFT-HEINZ CO.

US5007541064
69,830 12
+5,07%
1 %

LOCKHEED MARTIN

US5398301094
198,093 4
+0,98%
1 %

MACYS

US55616P1049
40,280 22
+9,25%
1 %

MASTERCARD

US57636Q1040
81,400 11
+2,09%
1 %

MATTEL

US5770811025
29,172 28
-0,81%
1 %

MCDONALDS CORP.

US5801351017
106,130 8
-0,28%
1 %

MEDTRONIC PLC

IE00BTN1Y115
68,463 12
-0,15%
1 %
47,120 18
+1,18%
1 %

MONDELEZ

US6092071058
38,124 22
+5,17%
1 %

MOODYS CORP

US6153691059
86,417 11
+8,61%
1 %
179,111 5
+12,32%
1 %

NESTLE N

CH0038863350
64,920 13
+0,28%
1 %
38,250 21
-0,52%
1 %

NORDEX

DE000A0D6554
27,102 32
+2,91%
1 %

NORTHROP GRUMMAN

US6668071029
172,993 5
-0,78%
1 %

NOVARTIS NAMEN

CH0012005267
65,210 12
-3,68%
1 %

NTT DOCOMO

JP3165650007
20,410 2
-3,64%
0 %

OREAL (L ) INH. EO 0,2

FR0000120321
154,850 5
-1,69%
1 %

PATRIZIA

DE000PAT1AG3
21,277 38
-2,51%
1 %

PEPSICO INC

US7134481081
90,530 9
-0,26%
1 %

PFIZER INC. DL-,05

US7170811035
26,900 30
-0,88%
1 %

PHILIP MORRIS

US7181721090
85,509 10
+5,57%
1 %

PHILLIPS 66

US7185461040
77,580 11
+5,55%
1 %

PROCTER GAMBLE

US7427181091
75,570 11
+1,03%
1 %
46,073 19
+42,91%
1 %

RECKITT BENCKIS

GB00B24CGK77
85,200 10
-1,43%
1 %

RHOEN KLINIKUM

DE0007042301
27,321 32
-0,05%
1 %

ROCHE HOLDING GS

CH0012032048
227,770 3
-1,50%
1 %

RYANAIR HLDG.

IE00BYTBXV33
14,303 60
-0,76%
1 %

SABMILLER

GB0004835483
54,070 16
-2,83%
1 %

SAP SE

DE0007164600
69,721 12
-0,99%
1 %

SIEMENS AG NA

DE0007236101
89,280 10
+3,25%
1 %

SODEXHO

FR0000121220
91,850 9
+2,74%
1 %

STARBUCKS CORP.

US8552441094
53,110 15
-0,64%
1 %

SYNGENTA N

CH0011037469
367,050 2
-0,24%
1 %

SYSCO

US8718291078
40,758 21
+4,10%
1 %

TEVA PHARM ADR

US8816242098
50,330 16
-3,73%
1 %

TEXAS INSTR. DL 1

US8825081040
49,670 17
+2,67%
1 %

TYSON FOODS INC CL A

US9024941034
59,112 3
-2,18%
0 %

UNILEVER CVA FL 1,12

NL0000009355
39,713 22
+2,55%
1 %

UNITEDHEALTH GROUP

US91324P1021
110,289 7
+1,02%
1 %

VERBIO

DE000A0JL9W6
6,469 124
-0,66%
1 %
46,870 18
+1,10%
1 %

VIRTU FINANCIAL

US9282541013
20,030 43
+2,88%
1 %

VISA

US92826C8394
66,860 13
+0,69%
1 %

VONOVIA SE

DE000A1ML7J1
29,003 29
+0,97%
1 %

WAL-MART STRS DL-,10

US9311421039
60,480 14
+0,80%
1 %

WCM AG

DE000A1X3X33
2,706 307
-1,76%
1 %

WELLS FARGO

US9497461015
45,390 18
+1,57%
1 %

WHOLE FOODS MARKET

US9668371068
29,131 30
+4,38%
1 %
19,295 45
+3,99%
1 %
ETFs 27 %
88,975 9
+2,40%
1 %
15,305 55
+3,85%
1 %
15,620 56
+8,55%
1 %

DAXEX

DE0005933931
86,370 10
+2,17%
1 %
22,495 37
-1,46%
1 %

DIVDAX EX FD

DE0002635273
13,921 29
+0,55%
0 %

ETF BRENT OIL

DE000A0KRKM5
17,393 24
+8,30%
0 %

ETF WTI OIL

DE000A0KRKN3
14,356 20
+7,71%
0 %

ETFS COPPER

DE000A0KRJU0
20,519 42
+6,70%
1 %
8,840 90
-0,67%
1 %
30,676 27
+0,46%
1 %

EUWAX GOLD

DE000EWG0LD1
36,863 23
+2,85%
1 %
207,664 4
-0,68%
1 %
27,355 31
+1,15%
1 %
50,838 17
+1,31%
1 %
143,203 6
-0,82%
1 %

ISHARES $ BONDS

DE000A0DPYY0
100,289 8
+0,08%
1 %
138,712 6
-1,29%
1 %
25,563 34
+2,06%
1 %
85,399 10
-0,16%
1 %
4,341 205
-4,08%
1 %
143,463 6
-0,70%
1 %
31,969 27
+0,67%
1 %
20,955 40
+2,22%
1 %
35,890 23
+2,28%
1 %
13,850 60
+1,24%
1 %
15,197 50
+1,52%
1 %

LYXOR ETF MSCI WORLD

FR0010315770
144,724 6
+2,89%
1 %

LYXOR ETF NASDAQ 100

FR0007063177
15,470 45
+1,95%
1 %

LYXOR WORLD WATER

FR0010527275
31,440 26
-0,25%
1 %

MDAX EX

DE0005933923
173,421 4
+1,74%
1 %
151,546 6
+0,78%
1 %
143,403 6
+1,76%
1 %
132,623 7
+1,82%
1 %
33,409 25
+3,44%
1 %

SPDR DIV.ARISTOCRATS.

IE00B5M1WJ87
19,955 41
+1,74%
1 %
26,191 33
+4,56%
1 %
37,080 24
+0,54%
1 %

TECDAX EX

DE0005933972
15,271 20
-0,83%
0 %
15,390 54
+2,61%
1 %
Cash 0 %

 

Technische Analyse Dax, EUR/USD, Bund 19.05

dax19.05

Der Ausbruch aus, der sich seit Wochen formierenden Bullishen-Flagge, scheint bestand zu haben. Mit einem Tageshoch von derzeit 11.842,7 Punkten setzt der Dax seine, seit 7 Jahren andauernde Hausse, fort. Größere Wiederstände sind jetzt im Bereich 12.000-12.052 Punkten und das Allzeithoch bei 12.392,7 Punkten. Anleger sollten beachten das mit der FED Sitzung am Mittwoch, dem IFO-Geschäftsklimaindex am Freitag und dem ZEW Index wichtige Impulse seitens der Notenbank und seitens der fundamentalen Wirtschaftsdaten für Deutschland warten, sodass negative Enttäuschungen, seitens Geldpolitik (Zinswende) oder Konjunktur (BIP, Inflation etc.), die Karten neu mischen könnte. Unsere Kursprognose bis zum Ende des Jahres 12.500-13.000 Punkt auf der Oberseite.

eurusd19.05

Die Bewegung im Dax scheint sehr stark währungsgetrieben zu sein, denn während der Impulsiven Aufwärtsbewegung im Dax schoss der EUR/USD durch seinen Aufwärtstrendkanal wie durch Butter. Ein mögliches erstes Kursziel ist 1,10520 €/$ darunter 1,09849, 1,08859, 1,08163, 1,06607 darunter das Jahrestief bei 1,04050. Unsere Kurprognose tritt beim Erreichen des jahrestiefsbei 1,04050 EUR/USD ein.

 

 

eurobund19.05

Mit dem Ausbruch des Dax gelang dem Bund Future eine erstaunlich impulsive Aufwärtsbewegung. Eine Bewegung bis zu den Wiederständen 155,346 und darüber 155,747 wäre denkbar.

Traden lernen #3 – Fibonacci Retracements

Fibonacci Retracements




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Als Fibonacci-Retracements bezeichnet man in der technischen Analyse Kurskorrekturen an bestimmten Widerstands- und Unterstützungslinien. Benannt sind sie nach der Fibonacci-Folge. Märkte korrigieren verblüffend oft, vorangegangene Aufwärts- bzw. Abwärtsbewegungen, um bestimmte Prozentsätze, wie z.B. 23,6%, 38,2%, 50%, 61,8%, 78,6%, 100%, 125%.

Traden lernen #2 – Gleitende Durchschnitte

Der: gleitende Durchschnitt st eine Methode zur Glättung von Kursverläufen. Er gibt den Durchschnittspreis der jeweiligen Zeitperiode an. An diesen gleitenden Durchschnittslinien reagieren Kurse meist, sodass diese als Wiederstände oder Unterstützungen fungieren.



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In der Technischen Analyse unterscheidet man zwischen dem exponentiell-moving-average kurz EMA, der den gewichteten Durchschnitt visualisieren und diem simpple-moving-average kurz SMA. Standartwerte für gleitende Durchschnitte sind. 5,10 ,15, 21, 25, 50, 55, 100, 200.

 

Traden lernen #1 – Trendkonzept, Trendlinien

Trendkonzept, Tendlinien



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Das Trendkonzept besagt das Märkte sich grundsätzlich immmer in einer Trendphase befinden. Die Trends werden in …

1. Aufwärtstrends: Situation bei der neue Hoch- und Tiefpunkte höher liegen als vegangene Hoch- und Tiefpunkte innerhalb der Kursralley.
2. Seitwärtstrends: Situation bei dem wederr neue Hoch- noch neue Teifpunkte generiert werden.
3. Abwärtstrends: Situation bei der neue Hoch- und Tiefpunkte tiefer liegen als vegangene Hoch- und Tiefpunkte innerhalb der Baissephase.

…und in….

1. primäre Trends: Gibt den grundsätzlichen Trend an. (Bearish, Bullish); Dauer: ein bis mehrere Jahre
2. sekundäre Trends: Gibt die Aktuelle Phase des Trends an. Korrekturen und Konsolidierungen führen die Kurse normalerweise zwischen 1/3, 2/3 oder offmals auch ungefähr die Hälfte der vorherhegehenden Bewegung zurück, oder Fortsetzung des Auf- bzw. Abwärtstrends; Dauer: drei Wochen bis drei Monate
3. tetriäre (oder unbedeutende) Trends: kurzfristige Trends stellen Fluktuation in einem mittelfrsitigen bzw. sekundären Trend dar und dauer in der Regel unter drei Wochen

…unterteilt.

Wenn Hoch- bzw. Tiefpunkte verbunden wurden erhalten Sie die gewünschte Trendlinie, die Trendrichtung, Trendstärke und leicht gute Kauf- bzw. Verkaufszonen anzeigt.

 

Technical and Fundamental Analysis: SP 500 14.05.15

sp500


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sp500 2The S&P 500 tried to rally during the session on Wednesday, but found the 2110 level be far too resistive. Because of this, we ended up forming a shooting star which of course is a very negative sign but we have a hammer from the previous session applying pressure to the upside. Because of this, we believe that this market does continue to grind higher, but it is going to remain very choppy.

With that, we are bullish but recognize that we need to see some type of setup to start buying. Right now, we do not have it.

buysell

Buy: 
Entry  Prices 1864, 1990, 2118

Sell: 
Sell Prices: 1859, 1989, 2117



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KGV 1900 - 2015

Another interesting chart depicts the PE Ratio of the SP 500 in the past 25 years. Comparing to past data for example in 2008 a PE ratio of 150 and in the year 2000 after the dotcom bubble bursted a PE ratio of 45. Currently the PE Ratio of the SP 500 is about 18 which is compared to other bubble years relatively cheap. The rise of the USD against other currencies although is though for american companies specially those that export to foreign countries. This factor and the statetement of Fed Chairwomen Janett Yellen who said that “the SP 500 is overvalued” and the fact that higher oil prices occur could burden the economy and the development of stock markets.


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Massive Sell-Off in the Euro Bund Future

 


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The Euro Bund continues its steep downtrend as massive sales are generating new lows. The prices may move up to 153.64 points, here is a counter movement possible. Prices over 155.70 points would be the first signs of recovery but this remains to be seen.

images

So far, the Euro Bund dropped to no support zone where a significant movement is presumable. If possible
Countermovement fail, a floor formation would be generated.

Eurobund07.05

The Euro Bund Future has dropped in the meantime on Thursday by more than one percent to 151.44 points – this is the lowest level since December. The decline in the futures contract testifies to the flight of investors from the European bond market. At the same time the bonds of Germany and its neighbors yielded last no longer as good as long.

Ten-year government bond yields moved from the lows from 0,05% three weeks ago up to 0.77%. The rise in interest rates was observed with a few exceptions not only across Europe but also in Asia. Ten-year Japanese government bonds currently pay 0.42 percent – to 0.28 percent in mid-April. In Europe gilts throw back from more than two percent, French title more than one percent. A few weeks ago there were both good 0.5 percentage points less. Even ten-year bonds of a safe haven Switzerland that had negative yields is again in possitive terrain.

One reason for the rapid increase in market interest rates are better economic outlook for the euro area. By contrast, the situation in the US is deteriorating increasingly. Experts are still amazed of the extent yield growth because the European Central Bank (ECB) still buys significant amounts of government bonds and makes no effort to end or decrease the program very soon. Normally, the ECB purchases should support prices and cause yields at least not rise appreciably.

The Euro Bund Future seemed to run too hot in the past sothat it carried out a long-awaited correction. Experts also refer to the reasons in the market structure: Because major central banks like the Federal Reserve and the ECB are big market participants the market turnover fell. In less liquid markets price fluctuations are higher because individual transactions outweigh.

Technical and Fundamental Analysis: Nasdaq 100

Deep Dive Into Technical and Fundamental Analysis of the Nasdaq 100

nasdaq

Long-term Nasdaq Chart

 

nasdaq_lang


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After the breakout of the sliding zone of the Nasdaq put 100 at the beginning of the previous week into reverse. On Thursday, the index then fell back into the trading range, thus the outbreak developed to incorrect signal. Instead of further losses, as actually common for such a faulty signal, it went on Friday but then up again. So the week was reduced to minus 58 points or 1.3 percent.

An increased incidence of false signals usually indicates a (longer) lateral movement. This would, however, in view of the longer-term charts critical for the bulls, because the distance to the upward trend in force since 2009 is only slight. Yet the trend is intact but that cross support at around 4350 in the chart on a weekly basis remains to be seen.

 

Medium-term Nasdaq Chart

nasdaq_mittel

In the bottom chart, the quotation on Friday is exactly climbed to the upper limit of the trading range. Should it go down earlier this week, is expected to continue the sideways movement. Skips the Nasdaq 100 but again upward from the trading range, could still enforce the original purchase signal. Then Thursday would be to ignore a one-time mistake.

Accordingly, investors may overlook the next week with a tidy portion of curiosity. Not only the liquidity but also the tension of market participants is obviously high.

nasdaq_in_euro

t could be argued that the Nasdaq-100 Index is not just a liquid, tradable benchmark but that in fact it has become the best equity manager of the past 10 years. Like the S&P 500 is not the representation of the 500 largest U.S. companies by market cap or the Dow Jones Industrial Average being the 30 biggest names of industry, the Nasdaq-100 is not a broad market, broad-based benchmark. The Nasdaq-100 represents some of the most-well-known brand names in today’s global economy, the names of companies that have innovated many.industries.From its first listing as an ETF in March 1999 through today, the Nasdaq-100 has returned more than 15% higher than the S&P 500.

Alongside price growth has come significant shareholder return in the forms of dividends and buybacks. Beyond Apple’s buyback and dividend program, there is a consistent trend of Nasdaq-100 companies distributing their growing earnings back into investors’ pockets, and the companies have returned over $300 billion since 2009 via share buybacks. To further the shareholder return growth story, dividends paid out by the index have grown from $2 billion to $50 billion since 2003, representing a 2200% increase and a 1000% increase in tangible yield. This shift has been achieved responsibly, with the cash-to-debt ratio continuing to hover at 1.5, indicating that companies have not levered up to generate the growth in dividends and buybacks.

Lastly, this fundamental growth is not limited to the technology sector and Apple. Other industries that have driven this growth include consumer services, consumer goods, health care and industrials. The combined ex-tech companies have had a 2400% increase in their dividends paid, which has outpaced the technology growth on a percentage basis.

The collection of companies that comprise the Nasdaq-100 have melded to form the backbone of the new economy and have subsequently delivered returns unmatched by active, passive or smart-beta strategies.

To delve into performance, perhaps the best place to start is a simple chart comparing the total return of a $10,000 investment in the Nasdaq-100 versus the S&P 500 on Dec. 31, 2003. The market was coming off a great recovery year in 2003, with the Nasdaq-100 gaining 49% on a price return basis (returns not inclusive of dividends), so a new investment would have to be weighed against the year.

The Nasdaq-100 significantly outgained the S&P 500 during this period, and did so driven predominantly by price return. The dividend kicker of the Nasdaq-100 has increased in the past few years, with an average yield between 2012 and 2014 of 1.64% versus the S&P 500’s 2.56%.

 

 

nasdaqvssp

The Nasdaq-100 has outperformed the S&P 500 by 88% from year-end 2003 through the most recent quarter-end with comparable levels of volatility over the period, and did so with only an additional 143 basis points of volatility, on average. A different approach to examining the index is to view it through the lens of active management or smart beta. There are rules in place, such as exchange and sector limitation, resulting in a filtered population from which the 100 largest companies are chosen. Similar to active managers or smart-beta methodologies that only include stocks with certain P/E ratios, dividend yields, free cash flow, moats or other metrics, the Nasdaq-100 has parameters in place to select its stocks. These filters result in a slightly different exposure to the broad equity market as defined by the S&P 500. As a result, it has seen a significant improvement in its risk-adjusted returns.

nasdaq2

The fundamentals are fantastic and have helped deliver significant returns. Can it persist? Can it be repeated? Those are the questions behind every new methodology focused on smart-beta strategies, dividend strategies, momentum, value, growth, size, quality and every other factor and investment strategy nuance. The Nasdaq-100 is a unique index due to its rule set and exchange profile; this uniqueness has created a benchmark with exceptional underlying fundamental metrics and a history of superior returns.



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Ecologically, Ethically and Sustainable Fonds

Sustainable funds – inflow continues

For a time they enjoyed great journalistic interest – ecologically and sustainably oriented investment funds. Meanwhile, the coverage has become a little quieter, but they could in the past year to achieve above-average growth again.
Record level – still a niche

sustainable


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After that was 2014, the best year for this particular Fund’s investment objectives. With assets under management of 34.8 billion euros, a new record level was reached. The investment volume was thus 4.4 billion euros or – in relative terms – by 14.5 percent higher than last year. Overall, German retail funds grew contrast compared ‘only’ by a good 10 percent. However, the share of sustainable funds in assets of all mutual funds remains modest at 4.4 per cent, sustained funds are still a niche segment.
Number of sustainable funds falls

Interesting in this context is the finding that the number of eco- and sustainability funds offered has shrunk. 2012 were still 300 funds in the market, their number dropped to 283 in 2013 and last year there were only 268. The average fund volume increased by at EUR 130 million. The decrease is explained mainly with the task of smaller funds that are no longer rewarded on account of their low volume. So it also is a shakeout.

In the investigation aimed at retail investors equity, bond, mixed and funds of funds and ETF were involved. Outside front remained funds for institutional investors. Here, a strong importance of equity funds showed. Significantly more than half of the fund focuses on sustainable stocks. Your strong capital growth contributed significantly to the good performance of the Fund segment total.
Each defines sustainability differently

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Have a look at my Portfolios. One of them is the portfolio “ Ecology , Ethic & Sustainability “. The investment strategy behind this Portfolio is that the investor should be given the opportunity to profit from stocks, funds and ETFs that focus on ethical, ecological and sustainable values ​​.

Technical and Fundamental Outlook: Brent Oil 22.04.15

The short-term recovery phase from the yearly lows at Brent crude oil could have ended from a technical perspective. Market participants showed a lack of sustained buying pressure this week. The current level is neutral so that opportunities are both on the up and downside. However, it must be confessed that the opportunities for buyers are still a little bit higher with hedge funds betting on higher oil prices. Still the correction target at 76.25 US dollars has not yet been executed. During last weeks sessions Brent Oil reached its peak at 64.95 $.

Rohöl  22.04

The 61.8% Fibo retracement no longer needs to be controlled, even though it is considered the most common correction target. The question is now: How is the outlook for the next weeks or even months? One answer is likely to arrive fundamental side rather than on the technical. For this purpose can only be said that if the current week candle remains below 64.95 US dollars, a continuation of the current sideways movement from 53.89 to 64.95 US dollars is to be favored. For a buy signal, the Brent crude oil should, however, sustained break above 65.00 US dollars. Only then further upside potential is opened up to the round mark of 70.00 US dollars. In then likely originally favored target price at 76 US $.

WTI 1998 - 2014

Allthough this chart depicts the price movement of crude oil WTI from the years 1998 until 2015 and not Brent Oil, the test of the major trend line can been seen clearly.

US-Rohoel Lagerbestaende Maerz 2015

With US crude oil inventories reaching a 80 year peak. It is clearly visible that even the US government predicts higher oil prices in the near future or is producing so much that they cant consume same amounts.

But…

not to build a too positive outlook please consider in your investment decision that oil prices has fallen 43% in the last year. Plus the 26,84% recovery of prices in the last 3 months were mainly driven by Saudi Arabia alliance air strikes against Jemen. In addition oil prices extended their losses on Tuesday evening on Wednesday. On the market was called in Yemen as a base the adjustment of the air strikes by the Arab alliance. In the morning, a barrel cost (about 159 liters) of North Sea Brent crude for delivery in June 61.61 US dollars, 47 cents less than on Tuesday. The price of a barrel of the American West Texas Intermediate (WTI) fell by 57 cents to 56.04 $.

The Saudi Arabia alliance announced on Tuesday evening, to terminate its operation “Storm of determination” in Yemen. For about four weeks positions and arsenal of the Shiite Houthi rebels were bombed in this framework. Because Saudi Arabia is a very large oil producer and the unrest in Yemen are perceived as a threat to the entire oil-rich Gulf region, including the oil prices had risen at the beginning of the procedure.

The Defense Ministry in Riyadh also declared the mission in Yemen was not completed. It follows the operation “Restore Hope”, in which it should go where, inter alia, to prevent Houthi incursions and to protect civilians. More military operations are considered not excluded.

 



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